Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#50
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#80
Pace78.7#14
Improvement+1.5#108

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#63
Improvement+0.2#160

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#68
Improvement+1.3#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round28.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 254   @ Northern Colorado W 89-75 84%     1 - 0 +11.8 -2.2 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2011 14   @ New Mexico W 62-53 20%     2 - 0 +26.3 -2.7 +28.8
  Nov 19, 2011 131   UTEP W 89-73 81%     3 - 0 +15.1 +13.2 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2011 247   Central Michigan W 78-49 89%     4 - 0 +24.0 -1.2 +23.6
  Nov 25, 2011 69   Southern Miss L 72-80 56%     4 - 1 -1.0 +0.2 -1.1
  Nov 26, 2011 137   San Francisco W 81-71 72%     5 - 1 +12.3 +6.3 +6.0
  Nov 29, 2011 47   Arizona L 76-83 62%     5 - 2 -1.7 +3.5 -5.0
  Dec 04, 2011 69   @ Southern Miss L 66-74 42%     5 - 3 +2.4 -6.3 +9.1
  Dec 11, 2011 131   @ UTEP L 69-73 60%     5 - 4 +1.9 +3.5 -1.8
  Dec 19, 2011 316   Southern W 91-66 98%     6 - 4 +9.8 -0.8 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2011 209   McNeese St. W 82-62 90%     7 - 4 +14.2 +3.3 +10.3
  Dec 28, 2011 14   New Mexico L 69-89 42%     7 - 5 -9.5 -3.8 -3.8
  Dec 31, 2011 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-65 98%     8 - 5 -0.4 +0.2 -0.6
  Jan 02, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 73-72 83%     9 - 5 -0.9 -4.8 +3.9
  Jan 07, 2012 185   @ Louisiana Tech W 83-73 73%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +12.1 -2.5 +13.0
  Jan 12, 2012 133   Utah St. W 80-60 82%     11 - 5 2 - 0 +19.0 +5.7 +13.6
  Jan 14, 2012 150   Idaho W 80-68 84%     12 - 5 3 - 0 +9.9 +7.0 +3.4
  Jan 19, 2012 263   @ San Jose St. W 79-63 85%     13 - 5 4 - 0 +13.4 +3.2 +10.2
  Jan 21, 2012 210   @ Hawaii L 87-91 76%     13 - 6 4 - 1 -3.0 -2.2 -0.1
  Jan 26, 2012 100   Nevada L 60-68 75%     13 - 7 4 - 2 -6.6 -8.8 +1.9
  Jan 28, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 60-56 88%     14 - 7 5 - 2 -0.1 -8.4 +8.7
  Feb 01, 2012 251   Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-57 94%     15 - 7 +12.3 -2.3 +14.3
  Feb 04, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech W 83-72 89%     16 - 7 6 - 2 +6.3 +8.7 -2.2
  Feb 09, 2012 150   @ Idaho L 58-59 64%     16 - 8 6 - 3 +3.7 -11.0 +14.7
  Feb 11, 2012 133   @ Utah St. W 80-69 60%     17 - 8 7 - 3 +16.8 +17.2 +0.9
  Feb 18, 2012 130   Drake W 71-55 81%     18 - 8 +15.1 +2.8 +13.0
  Feb 23, 2012 210   Hawaii W 115-73 90%     19 - 8 8 - 3 +36.2 +16.1 +12.2
  Feb 25, 2012 263   San Jose St. W 79-68 94%     20 - 8 9 - 3 +1.6 +0.4 +1.2
  Mar 01, 2012 100   @ Nevada L 61-65 51%     20 - 9 9 - 4 +4.3 -8.4 +12.7
  Mar 03, 2012 177   @ Fresno St. W 83-78 OT 71%     21 - 9 10 - 4 +7.7 +1.2 +5.8
  Mar 08, 2012 177   Fresno St. W 65-49 81%     22 - 9 +15.3 +4.2 +14.0
  Mar 09, 2012 210   Hawaii W 92-81 85%     23 - 9 +8.6 +9.3 -1.5
  Mar 10, 2012 185   Louisiana Tech W 82-57 82%     24 - 9 +23.7 +9.6 +14.4
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0%
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 0.3 5.8 42.6 50.3 1.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.3 5.8 42.6 50.3 1.0